Issue Brief on “Global Competition for Anti-drone Technologies”

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Recent reports predict that the value of the military drone market would reach US$17.0 billion in 2027 at a compound annual growth rate CAGR of 7.3 per cent from US$12.0 billion in 2022. On the other hand, exponential growth is observed in the market size of anti-drone technologies. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the global market for anti-drone technologies had to put up with a sharp decline and reached a total value of US$623.4 million in the year 2020. However, the post-pandemic projections about the market size made a huge comeback with a sharp increase in numbers as compared to pre-pandemic projections.[1]

According to 2021 estimates, the market size of anti-drone technologies is expected to reach US$3.1 billion by 2027 at an impressive CAGR of 25.9 per cent. However, the 2019 pre-COVID estimates predicted that the value of the global anti-drone market would reach US$3.5 billion by the end of 2030 at a CAGR of 21 per cent. If the conditions for business remain stable without any major disruption in global production and supply chains then it might be possible that global as well as national markets achieve their projected targets earlier by the year 2025. In 2020, the estimated value of the US anti-drone market was US$186.9 million. China’s market value is projected to reach US$537.4 million by the year 2027 at a CAGR of 25.1 per cent. The anti-drone markets of Japan, Canada and Germany are projected to grow at a CAGR of 23.1 per cent, 22.1 per cent and 18.1 per cent respectively.[2]

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